Process / pipeline
个体模拟 — 个人层面政策建模
个体模拟是一种计算方法，通过直接作用于由家庭、公司、患者等个体微观单位组成的群体，并根据每个单位自身的人口统计、经济和行为特征应用规则来模拟政策效应。该方法由盖伊·奥克特（Guy Orcutt）于1957年提出概念，现已成为实施前评估税制改革、养老金体系和医疗政策的标准工具。
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Method map
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来源
- O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI: 10.1108/s0573-855520140000293026 ↗
- Li, J. & O'Donoghue, C. (2013). A Survey of Dynamic Microsimulation Models: Uses, Model Structure and Methodology. International Journal of Microsimulation, 6(2), 3–55. link ↗
如何引用本页
ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Microsimulation Modelling. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/microsimulation
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