方法对比
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| 个体模拟× | 离散事件仿真 (DES)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 仿真 | 仿真 |
| 方法族 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 起源年份≠ | 1957 | 1960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward |
| 提出者≠ | Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects | Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s) |
| 类型≠ | Policy simulation / computational social science | Stochastic process simulation |
| 开创性文献≠ | O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗ | Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127 |
| 别名 | Mikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation | DES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES) |
| 相关≠ | 5 | 4 |
| 摘要≠ | Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation. | Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time. |
| ScholarGate数据集 ↗ |
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