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Toda-Yamamoto Kausalitetstest

Toda-Yamamoto (TY) kausalitetstesten er en modificeret Wald-procedure til test af Granger-kausalitet i vektorautoregressioner (VAR'er) estimeret i niveauer, selv når variable er ikke-stationære eller kointegrerede. Ved bevidst at overfitte VAR'en med ekstra lags svarende til den maksimale integrationsorden, genoprettes den standard chi-i-anden asymptotiske fordeling af Wald-statistikken uden krav om forudgående enhedsrod- eller kointegrationstest.

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Kilder

  1. Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(94)01616-8
  2. Dolado, J. J., & Lütkepohl, H. (1996). Making Wald tests work for cointegrated VAR systems. Econometric Reviews, 15(4), 369-386. DOI: 10.1080/07474939608800362

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ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Toda-Yamamoto Modified Wald Causality Test. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/toda-yamamoto-causality-test

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ScholarGateToda-Yamamoto causality test (Toda-Yamamoto Modified Wald Causality Test). Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/toda-yamamoto-causality-test · Datasæt: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026