Regression modelEconometrics / time series
Vector Error Correction Model with Structural Breaks (SB-VECM)
The Structural Break VECM extends the standard Vector Error Correction Model to allow the cointegrating relationships, adjustment speeds, or short-run dynamics to shift at one or more known or estimated break dates. It preserves the long-run equilibrium framework of the VECM while explicitly modelling regime changes caused by policy shifts, crises, or institutional changes.
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Sources
- Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99–126. DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(69)41685-7 ↗
- Johansen, S., Mosconi, R., & Nielsen, B. (2000). Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend. Econometrics Journal, 3(2), 216–249. DOI: 10.1111/1368-423X.00047 ↗