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Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Modeli ya TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)

Modeli ya Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) huupanua mfumo wa kawaida wa GARCH kwa kuruhusu mshtuko chanya na hasi wa mapato kuwa na athari zisizo sawa kwenye kiwango tofauti kinachotarajiwa. Mshtuko hasi — habari mbaya — kwa kawaida huongeza mgeuko zaidi kuliko mshtuko chanya wa ukubwa sawa, ukweli ulioandikwa kama athari ya kujiinua. TGARCH hunasa kutokuwa sawa huku kupitia kiashirio cha kizingiti ambacho huwashwa wakati mshtuko wa kipindi kilichopita ulikuwa hasi.

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Vyanzo

  1. Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1889(94)90039-6
  2. Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05128.x

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Threshold Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/tgarch-model

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ScholarGateTGARCH model (Threshold Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model). Imepatikana 2026-06-15 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/tgarch-model · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026