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Mfumo wa ARCH wa Mabadiliko ya Kimuundo

Mfumo wa ARCH wa Mabadiliko ya Kimuundo unapanua mfumo wa Engle (1982) wa Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity kwa kuzingatia waziwazi mabadiliko ya ghafla na ya kudumu katika mchakato wa utofauti wa masharti. Kupuuza mabadiliko ya kimuundo katika utofauti husababisha vigezo vya ARCH kuonekana kuwa na uendelevu wa uwongo, hivyo basi kujumuisha vigezo bandia vya mabadiliko au vigezo maalum vya utawala hutoa makadirio sahihi zaidi ya tete na ulinganifu bora wa mfumo.

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Vyanzo

  1. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI: 10.2307/1912773
  2. Lamoureux, C. G., & Lastrapes, W. D. (1990). Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 8(2), 225–234. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1990.10509794

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Structural Breaks. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/structural-break-arch-model

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ScholarGateStructural Break ARCH Model (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Structural Breaks). Imepatikana 2026-06-15 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/structural-break-arch-model · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026