Regression Discontinuity in Elections
Regression discontinuity in elections is a quasi-experimental design that exploits the sharp winning threshold in electoral contests to estimate causal effects of holding office. Just above the threshold a candidate or party wins; just below, it loses. In very close races, which side ends up just over the line is plausibly as good as random, so comparing the later outcomes of bare winners and bare losers identifies the causal effect of winning — most famously the incumbency advantage — without confounding by candidate or district quality.
Leer el método completo
Inicia sesión con una cuenta gratuita para leer esta sección.
Mapa de métodos
El vecindario de métodos relacionados: selecciona un nodo para explorarlo.
Fuentes
- Lee, D. S. (2008). Randomized Experiments from Non-random Selection in U.S. House Elections. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2), 675–697. DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.05.004 ↗
- Lee, D. S., & Lemieux, T. (2010). Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2), 281–355. DOI: 10.1257/jel.48.2.281 ↗
- Eggers, A. C., Fowler, A., Hainmueller, J., Hall, A. B., & Snyder, J. M. (2015). On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close Races. American Journal of Political Science, 59(1), 259–274. DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12127 ↗
Cómo citar esta página
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Regression Discontinuity Design in Close Elections. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/es/political-science/regression-discontinuity-in-elections
¿Qué método?
Coloca este método junto a sus parientes más cercanos y léelos lado a lado: la biblioteca pone los libros sobre la mesa; la elección es tuya.
- Diferencia en Diferencias (Diff-in-Diff)Econometría↔ comparar
- Most Similar Systems DesignPolitical Science↔ comparar
- Diseño de Regresión Discontinua (RDD)Inferencia causal↔ comparar
Citado por
Métodos similares
¿Has visto un problema en esta página? Infórmanos o sugiere una corrección →