Process / pipelineSimulation / optimization
政策情景系统动力学——通过反馈模型模拟政策干预
政策情景系统动力学结合了系统动力学建模与结构化情景分析，用于评估不同政策干预如何随时间影响复杂的、由反馈驱动的系统。通过将多个政策情景运行在一个校准过的存量-流量模型中，分析师可以比较长期结果，识别杠杆点，并在实际实施前预见意外后果。
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来源
- Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159
- Forrester, J. W. (1969). Urban Dynamics. MIT Press. link ↗
如何引用本页
ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Policy Scenario System Dynamics — Scenario-Based Simulation of Policy Interventions Using System Dynamics Models. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/policy-scenario-system-dynamics
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