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政策情景系统动力学×基于主体的系统动力学×
领域仿真仿真
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1960s–1990s2000s
提出者Forrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and othersBorshchev, A. & Filippov, A. (hybrid formalization); Sterman, J. D. (system dynamics foundation)
类型Simulation-based policy analysisHybrid simulation model
开创性文献Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159Borshchev, A., & Filippov, A. (2004). From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling: Reasons, techniques, tools. In Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Oxford, UK. link ↗
别名PSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems ModelingAB-SD, Hybrid ABM-SD, Agent-based SD, Multi-level hybrid simulation
相关55
摘要Policy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.Agent-based system dynamics (AB-SD) is a hybrid simulation paradigm that couples agent-based modeling (ABM) at the micro level with system dynamics (SD) stock-and-flow structures at the macro level. This allows researchers to capture emergent individual behavior and feedback-driven aggregate dynamics within a single coherent model, making it especially valuable for complex socio-economic and epidemiological systems.
ScholarGate数据集
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  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Policy Scenario System Dynamics · Agent-based system dynamics. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare