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政策情景离散事件仿真 — 通过情景驱动的离散事件仿真模型评估政策备选方案

政策情景离散事件仿真(Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation)将离散事件仿真(DES)的事件逐一精确模拟能力与系统的政策情景分析相结合,用于评估不同的干预措施、法规或资源分配如何改变系统性能。通过将多个明确定义的政策情景运行于同一 DES 模型,分析人员可以在实际实施前比较不同备选方案的各项结果(吞吐量、等待时间、成本)。

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来源

  1. Law, A. M. (2015). Simulation Modeling and Analysis (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN: 9780073401324
  2. Robinson, S. (2014). Simulation: The Practice of Model Development and Use (2nd ed.). Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN: 9781137328021

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation — Evaluating policy alternatives through scenario-driven DES models. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/policy-scenario-discrete-event-simulation

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被引用于

ScholarGatePolicy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation (Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation — Evaluating policy alternatives through scenario-driven DES models). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/policy-scenario-discrete-event-simulation · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026