方法对比
并排查看您选择的方法；存在差异的行会高亮显示。
| 政策情景系统动力学× | 多目标系统动力学× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 仿真 | 仿真 |
| 方法族 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 起源年份≠ | 1960s–1990s | 1961 (SD); multi-objective extensions from 1990s onward |
| 提出者≠ | Forrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and others | Forrester, J. W. (System Dynamics); multi-objective extension by various authors |
| 类型≠ | Simulation-based policy analysis | Simulation / optimization hybrid |
| 开创性文献 | Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159 | Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0-07-231135-8 |
| 别名 | PSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems Modeling | MOSD, Multi-criteria SD, Multi-objective SD modeling, System dynamics with multiple objectives |
| 相关≠ | 5 | 4 |
| 摘要≠ | Policy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation. | Multi-Objective System Dynamics (MOSD) couples the feedback-loop simulation power of System Dynamics with explicit multi-criteria optimization, enabling analysts to explore how a dynamic system can simultaneously satisfy competing policy goals — such as cost minimization, environmental sustainability, and social equity — over time. |
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