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MA model sa strukturnim lomom

Vremenska serija pokretnih proseka (MA) proširena tako da obuhvati jedan ili više strukturnih lomova — nagle promene u srednjoj vrednosti, varijansi ili MA koeficijentima koji se javljaju na poznatim ili nepoznatim datumima loma. Zanemarivanje strukturnih lomova u MA procesu uvećava greške prognoze i iskrivljuje zaključivanje o dinamici grešaka.

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Izvori

  1. Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI: 10.2307/1913712
  2. Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1992.10509904

Kako citirati ovu stranicu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Moving Average Model with Structural Breaks. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/structural-break-ma-model

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ScholarGateStructural Break MA Model (Moving Average Model with Structural Breaks). Preuzeto 2026-06-15 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/structural-break-ma-model · Skup podataka: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026