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Strukturell brudd ARCH-modell

Strukturell brudd ARCH-modellen utvider Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-rammeverk ved eksplisitt å ta hensyn til brå, permanente skift i den betingede variansprosessen. Å ignorere strukturelle brudd i varians forårsaker at ARCH-parametere fremstår som falskt vedvarende, så inkludering av brudd-dummyer eller regime-spesifikke parametere gir mer nøyaktige volatilitetsestimater og bedre modell-tilpasning.

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  1. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI: 10.2307/1912773
  2. Lamoureux, C. G., & Lastrapes, W. D. (1990). Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 8(2), 225–234. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1990.10509794

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ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Structural Breaks. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/no/econometrics/structural-break-arch-model

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ScholarGateStructural Break ARCH Model (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Structural Breaks). Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/no/econometrics/structural-break-arch-model · Datasett: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026