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Regression model

贝叶斯向量自回归 (BVAR)

贝叶斯向量自回归 (BVAR) 在向量自回归模型中加入明尼苏达或其他先验分布,以控制模型参数过度化问题。该方法由 Litterman (1986) 提出,并由 Bańbura, Giannone 和 Reichlin (2010) 扩展至高维数据,在短期时间序列和高维宏观经济预测方面表现优于经典 VAR 模型。

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来源

  1. Litterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1986.10509491
  2. Bańbura, M., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2010). Large Bayesian Vector Auto Regressions. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25(1), 71-92. DOI: 10.1002/jae.1137

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Bayesian Vector Autoregression. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bvar

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被引用于

ScholarGateBayesian VAR (Bayesian Vector Autoregression). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bvar · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026