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门限向量自回归(TVAR)和光滑转换向量自回归(STVAR)

门限向量自回归(TVAR)和光滑转换向量自回归(STVAR)是非线性多元时间序列模型,其中向量自回归的系数根据门限变量在不同机制之间切换。这些模型基于Tsay(1998)对多元门限模型的处理,能够捕捉跨阶段(如商业周期、金融危机或政策差异)的不同动态结构。

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来源

  1. Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1998.10473779
  2. Balcilar, M. et al. (2017). Regime-Dependent Effects of Uncertainty Shocks. Economic Modelling. link

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Threshold Vector Autoregression and Smooth-Transition Vector Autoregression (TVAR / STVAR). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/stvar

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被引用于

ScholarGateThreshold and Smooth-Transition VAR (Threshold Vector Autoregression and Smooth-Transition Vector Autoregression (TVAR / STVAR)). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/stvar · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026