ScholarGate
助手
Regression modelEconometrics / time series

贝叶斯自回归(AR)模型

贝叶斯 AR 模型通过将源自 AR 结构似然函数与滞后系数和误差方差的先验分布相结合来估计自回归时间序列过程。它不产生单一的点估计,而是产生完整的后验分布,从而能够进行原则性的不确定性量化和概率预测。

用 EconMind 应用即将推出视频即将推出Download slides

阅读完整方法

仅限会员

使用免费账户登录即可阅读本节。

登录

Method map

The neighbourhood of related methods — select a node to explore.

来源

  1. Zellner, A. (1971). An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471169376
  2. West, M., & Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387947259

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Autoregressive Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bayesian-ar-model

Which method?

Set this method beside its closest kin and read them side by side — the library lays the books on the table; the choice is yours.

Compare side by side

被引用于

ScholarGateBayesian AR model (Bayesian Autoregressive Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bayesian-ar-model · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026