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FAVAR×แบบจำลองมาร์คอฟสลับระบอบ (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR×แบบจำลอง Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
สาขาวิชาเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูลRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
ปีกำเนิด2005198919982005
ผู้ริเริ่มBernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexesHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
ประเภทMultivariate time-series modelRegime-switching time series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
แหล่งต้นตำรับBernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นfactor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VARvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง4554
สรุปFAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: FAVAR · Markov-Switching Model · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR · VAR Model. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-18 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare