เปรียบเทียบวิธี
ดูวิธีที่เลือกเทียบกันแบบเคียงข้าง แถวที่ต่างกันจะถูกเน้นไว้
| FAVAR× | แบบจำลองมาร์คอฟสลับระบอบ (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| สาขาวิชา | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ |
| ตระกูล | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| ปีกำเนิด≠ | 2005 | 1989 | 1998 |
| ผู้ริเริ่ม≠ | Bernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexes | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) | Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling) |
| ประเภท≠ | Multivariate time-series model | Regime-switching time series model | Nonlinear multivariate time-series model |
| แหล่งต้นตำรับ≠ | Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ | Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗ |
| ชื่อเรียกอื่น≠ | factor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR) | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR | TVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR |
| ที่เกี่ยวข้อง≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| สรุป≠ | FAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once. | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. | Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences. |
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