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TGARCH sa strukturnim lomovima (Threshold GARCH sa strukturnim lomovima)×EGARCH model (eksponencijalni GARCH)×GARCH model (predviđanje volatilnosti)×Model TGARCH (Prag GARCH)×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka1990-1993199119861993-1994
TvoracLamoureux & Lastrapes (structural breaks in GARCH); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (TGARCH/GJR-GARCH asymmetry)Daniel B. NelsonTim BollerslevZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
TipVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelAsymmetric volatility model
Temeljni izvorLamoureux, C. G., & Lastrapes, W. D. (1990). Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 8(2), 225-234. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviSB-TGARCH, threshold GARCH with structural breaks, GJR-GARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted TGARCHExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
Srodne3656
SažetakStructural Break TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH (GJR-GARCH) model to accommodate discrete, permanent shifts in the volatility process. By detecting structural breaks and incorporating them — either as regime-specific intercepts or dummy variables — the model separates genuine volatility persistence from spurious persistence induced by ignored regime changes, and preserves the asymmetric leverage effect that characterises equity and financial return data.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Structural Break TGARCH · EGARCH model · GARCH Model · TGARCH model. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare