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Nelineárny model TGARCH×Model EGARCH (Exponenciálny GARCH)×Model GARCH (predikcia volatility)×Model TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1993–1994199119861993-1994
TvorcaJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleDaniel B. NelsonTim BollerslevZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
TypConditional heteroskedasticity modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelAsymmetric volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
Príbuzné4656
ZhrnutieThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Nonlinear TGARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model · TGARCH model. Získané 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare