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Model EGARCH (Exponenciálny GARCH)×Model ARCH (autoregresná podmienená heteroskedasticita)×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Model GARCH (predikcia volatility)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1991198219701986
TvorcaDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsTim Bollerslev
TypVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelTime series forecasting modelConditional volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Príbuzné6665
ZhrnutieThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: EGARCH model · ARCH model · ARIMA model · GARCH Model. Získané 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare