Technology Delphi
The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.
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출처
- Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948
- Cuhls, K. (2003). From forecasting to foresight processes—new participative foresight activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting, 22(2-3), 93-111. DOI: 10.1002/for.848 ↗
이 페이지 인용 방법
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Delphi Method for Technology Foresight (Large-Scale Technology Delphi). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/ko/science-technology-studies/delphi-foresight
어떤 방법일까요?
이 방법을 가장 가까운 동류의 방법들과 나란히 놓고 비교해 보세요 — 라이브러리는 책을 펼쳐 놓을 뿐, 선택은 여러분의 몫입니다.
- Foresight Scenario MethodScience Technology Studies↔ 비교
- Horizon ScanningScience Technology Studies↔ 비교
- Technology ForesightScience Technology Studies↔ 비교
- Technology RoadmappingScience Technology Studies↔ 비교