방법 비교

	Ljung-Box Q 검정 (Ljung-Box Q Test for Autocorrelation)	브레우슈-고드프리 LM 검정 (Breusch-Godfrey LM Test for Serial Correlation)	자기상관에 대한 더빈-왓슨 검정
분야	계량경제학	계량경제학	계량경제학
계열	Hypothesis test	Regression model	Regression model
기원 연도	1978	1978	1950
창시자	Greta Ljung & George Box	Trevor Breusch & Leslie Godfrey	James Durbin & Geoffrey Watson
유형	Portmanteau goodness-of-fit test	Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation	Test for first-order residual autocorrelation
원전	Ljung, G. M., & Box, G. E. P. (1978). On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrika, 65(2), 297–303.	Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301.	Durbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428.
별칭	Ljung-Box Q Test, Modified Box-Pierce Test, Portmanteau Test for Autocorrelation, Otokorelasyon Portmanteau Testi	BG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testi	DW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testi
관련	3	3	4
요약	The Ljung-Box Q test is a diagnostic portmanteau test proposed by Ljung and Box (1978) to assess whether a group of autocorrelations in a time series residual sequence is jointly zero. It is widely used to evaluate the adequacy of fitted time series models — especially ARIMA models — by testing whether remaining residuals exhibit any systematic pattern. The test is applicable in econometrics, finance, and any field that relies on temporal data modeling.	The Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing.	The Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations.