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충격반응함수 (Impulse Response Function, IRF)×예측 오차 분산 분해 (FEVD)×Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model×
분야계량경제학계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
기원 연도200520052005
창시자Helmut LütkepohlHelmut LütkepohlLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
유형Post-estimation diagnosticMultivariate time series analysis toolMultivariate time-series model
원전Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
별칭IRF, Dynamic Multiplier, Shock Response Function, Etki Tepki FonksiyonuVariance Decomposition, Error Variance Decomposition, VD Analysis, Varyans Ayrıştırmasıvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
관련334
요약The Impulse Response Function (IRF) traces the dynamic response of each variable in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) system to a one-unit shock in one of its error terms over a user-specified forecast horizon. It is the primary tool for structural analysis following VAR estimation and is widely used in macroeconomics, monetary economics, and finance to quantify how shocks propagate through interconnected time series systems.Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) is a multivariate time series technique used within Vector Autoregression (VAR) frameworks to quantify what proportion of the forecast error variance of each variable is attributable to shocks from every other variable in the system. It is widely used by econometricians, macroeconomists, and financial researchers to assess the relative importance of different structural disturbances in driving short-run and long-run fluctuations across interconnected economic series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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