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증강된 Dickey-Fuller (ADF) 단위근 검정×Lumsdaine-Papell 두 구조적 변화 단위근 검정×Zivot-Andrews 단위근 검정 (구조적 변동 포함)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelHypothesis testHypothesis test
기원 연도197919971992
창시자David A. Dickey & Wayne A. FullerRobin Lumsdaine & David PapellEric Zivot & Donald Andrews
유형Unit-root test for stationaritySequential two-break unit-root testSequential unit-root test with endogenous break-point selection
원전Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427–431. DOI ↗Lumsdaine, R. L., & Papell, D. H. (1997). Multiple trend breaks and the unit-root hypothesis. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(2), 212–218. DOI ↗Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI ↗
별칭ADF test, Dickey-Fuller test, unit root test, Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller testiLP Test, Two-Break Unit-Root Test, Double Structural Break Unit-Root Test, Lumsdaine-Papell İki Kırılmalı Birim Kök TestiZA Test, Zivot-Andrews Break Test, Endogenous Break Unit-Root Test, Zivot-Andrews Birim Kök Testi
관련433
요약The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is the most widely used test for a unit root — that is, for whether a time series is non-stationary and must be differenced before modelling. Introduced by David Dickey and Wayne Fuller in 1979 and extended by Said and Dickey in 1984 to series with higher-order autocorrelation, it regresses the change in the series on its lagged level plus lagged differences and asks whether the lagged-level coefficient is zero.The Lumsdaine-Papell test, introduced by Robin Lumsdaine and David Papell in 1997, extends the Zivot-Andrews single-break unit-root test to allow for two simultaneous structural breaks in the intercept and/or linear trend of a time series. It is widely used in macroeconomics and finance when data are suspected to have experienced two major regime shifts — such as policy changes, financial crises, or wars — and the researcher needs to determine whether the series is nonetheless integrated of order one.The Zivot-Andrews (ZA) test, introduced by Eric Zivot and Donald Andrews in 1992, is a sequential unit-root test that allows for a single structural break at an unknown date. It extends the augmented Dickey-Fuller framework by endogenously selecting the break point that provides the strongest evidence against the unit-root null hypothesis, making it particularly useful for macroeconomic and financial time series that may have been disrupted by events such as policy changes, financial crises, or supply shocks.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test · Lumsdaine-Papell Test · Zivot-Andrews Test. 2026-06-20에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare