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頑健なARDL境界検定による共和分×ARDL境界テスト(Pesaran境界テスト)×ヨハンセンの共和分検定とベクトル誤差修正モデル×非線形ARDL (NARDL) モデル×
分野計量経済学計量経済学ファイナンス計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
提唱年2019200119912014
提唱者Sam, McNown & GohPesaran, Shin & SmithSøren JohansenShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
種類Cointegration testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelNonlinear cointegration model
原典Sam, C. Y., McNown, R., & Goh, S. K. (2019). An augmented autoregressive distributed lag bounds test for cointegration. Economic Modelling, 80, 130-141. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
別名Robust ARDL, Robust bounds testing approach, Sam-McNown-Goh bounds test, Bootstrap ARDL bounds testPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
関連3435
概要The Robust ARDL bounds test is an augmented version of the Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) ARDL bounds testing approach that resolves its two key weaknesses: size distortion under mixed integration orders and the degenerate-case problem. It introduces three separate test statistics — an overall F-test and two new Wald statistics for the dependent and independent variables — evaluated against bootstrap-generated critical values.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Robust ARDL bounds test · ARDL Bounds Test · Johansen Cointegration Test · Nonlinear ARDL. 2026-06-19に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare