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回帰モデルにおけるパラメータ不安定性の検出:CUSUMテスト×Bai-Perron 複数構造切断検定×構造的ブレークに対するChow検定×未知の構造変化に対するクアント-アンドリュース検定×
分野計量経済学計量経済学計量経済学計量経済学
系統Hypothesis testHypothesis testRegression modelHypothesis test
提唱年1975199819601993
提唱者Brown, Durbin & EvansJushan Bai & Pierre PerronGregory C. ChowDonald Andrews
種類Recursive residual testSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaksTest for structural break in regression coefficientsSupremum test for structural change
原典Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591–605. DOI ↗Andrews, D. W. K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica, 61(4), 821–856. DOI ↗
別名Cumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam TestiBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma TestiChow breakpoint test, structural break test, Chow yapısal kırılma testisup-Wald Test, Andrews Breakpoint Test, Unknown Structural Break Test, Quandt Likelihood Ratio Test
関連3223
概要The CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.The Chow test, introduced by Gregory Chow in 1960, checks whether the coefficients of a linear regression are the same across two subsamples — that is, whether a structural break occurs at a known point such as a policy change, crisis, or regime shift. It compares the fit of a single pooled regression with the combined fit of two separate regressions; a large improvement from splitting indicates the relationship differs between the two periods or groups.The Quandt-Andrews test, formalized by Andrews (1993), detects structural breaks in regression parameters when the breakpoint date is unknown a priori. It sweeps all candidate break dates within a trimmed interior of the sample, computes a Wald (or LM/LR) statistic at each candidate, and reports the supremum of those statistics. Applied economists and time-series analysts use it to test whether coefficients remain stable across a full estimation window without needing to specify when the break occurred.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: CUSUM Test · Bai-Perron Test · Chow Test · Quandt-Andrews Test. 2026-06-19に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare