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回帰モデルにおけるパラメータ不安定性の検出:CUSUMテスト×構造的ブレークに対するChow検定×未知の構造変化に対するクアント-アンドリュース検定×
分野計量経済学計量経済学計量経済学
系統Hypothesis testRegression modelHypothesis test
提唱年197519601993
提唱者Brown, Durbin & EvansGregory C. ChowDonald Andrews
種類Recursive residual testTest for structural break in regression coefficientsSupremum test for structural change
原典Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591–605. DOI ↗Andrews, D. W. K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica, 61(4), 821–856. DOI ↗
別名Cumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam TestiChow breakpoint test, structural break test, Chow yapısal kırılma testisup-Wald Test, Andrews Breakpoint Test, Unknown Structural Break Test, Quandt Likelihood Ratio Test
関連323
概要The CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Chow test, introduced by Gregory Chow in 1960, checks whether the coefficients of a linear regression are the same across two subsamples — that is, whether a structural break occurs at a known point such as a policy change, crisis, or regime shift. It compares the fit of a single pooled regression with the combined fit of two separate regressions; a large improvement from splitting indicates the relationship differs between the two periods or groups.The Quandt-Andrews test, formalized by Andrews (1993), detects structural breaks in regression parameters when the breakpoint date is unknown a priori. It sweeps all candidate break dates within a trimmed interior of the sample, computes a Wald (or LM/LR) statistic at each candidate, and reports the supremum of those statistics. Applied economists and time-series analysts use it to test whether coefficients remain stable across a full estimation window without needing to specify when the break occurred.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: CUSUM Test · Chow Test · Quandt-Andrews Test. 2026-06-19に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare