Usporedite metode

	Model ARMA (Autoregresivni pokretni prosjek)	ARIMA model (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)	Autoregresijski model (AR)
Područje	Ekonometrija	Ekonometrija	Ekonometrija
Obitelj	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Godina nastanka	1970	1970	1970s (popularised 1976)
Tvorac	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins	George Box and Gwilym Jenkins	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
Vrsta	Time series model	Time series forecasting model	Time series model
Temeljni izvor	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Drugi nazivi	ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)	ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)	AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Srodne	5	6	6
Sažetak	The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.	The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.	An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.