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Bayesiansk NARDL: Ikke-lineær ARDL med Bayesiansk Estimation

Bayesiansk NARDL kombinerer Shin, Yu og Greenwood-Nimmos (2014) ramme for ikke-lineær autoregressiv distribueret lag (NARDL) med Bayesiansk posterior inferens. Den modellerer asymmetrisk langsigtet kointegration – hvilket tillader positive og negative stød til en regressor at have forskellige ligevægtseffekter – samtidig med at den inkorporerer forhåndsviden og producerer fulde posteriorfordelinger for alle parametre, inklusive asymmetrigabet.

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Kilder

  1. Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link
  2. Koop, G. (2003). Bayesian Econometrics. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470845677

Sådan citerer du denne side

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/bayesian-nardl

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ScholarGateBayesian NARDL (Bayesian Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model). Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/bayesian-nardl · Datasæt: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026