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Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test

Den Bayesianske ARDL Bounds Test udvider den klassiske Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) bounds testing-tilgang til kointegration ved at indlejre den i et bayesiansk inferentielt rammeværk. I stedet for at stole på frekventistiske F- og t-statistikker med tabellerede kritiske værdier, specificerer forskeren prior-fordelinger på modelparametrene og udleder posterior-evidens for en langsigtet niveau-relation mellem variable, der kan være integreret af orden nul eller én.

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Kilder

  1. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI: 10.1002/jae.616
  2. Koop, G. (2003). Bayesian Econometrics. Wiley-Interscience. ISBN: 978-0470845678

Sådan citerer du denne side

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Test. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/bayesian-ardl-bounds-test

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ScholarGateBayesian ARDL Bounds Test (Bayesian Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Test). Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/econometrics/bayesian-ardl-bounds-test · Datasæt: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026