قارن الطرق
راجع الطرق التي اخترتها جنبًا إلى جنب؛ الصفوف المختلفة مميَّزة.
| نموذج APARCH (Asymmetric Power ARCH): نمذجة مرنة للتقلبات للعوائد المالية× | نموذج GARCH (التنبؤ بالتقلب)× | نموذج GJR-GARCH (GARCH غير المتماثل)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 1993 | 1986 | 1993 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Ding, Granger & Engle | Tim Bollerslev | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994) |
| النوع≠ | Conditional heteroscedasticity model | Conditional volatility model | Asymmetric conditional volatility model |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Ding, Z., Granger, C. W. J., & Engle, R. F. (1993). A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1(1), 83–106. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة | Asymmetric Power ARCH, Power ARCH, APGARCH, Asimetrik Güç ARCH | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) | asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle) |
| ذات صلة≠ | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | APARCH, introduced by Ding, Granger, and Engle (1993) while studying long-memory properties of stock market returns, extends the GARCH family by allowing both the power transformation of conditional volatility and an asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. The model nests at least seven well-known ARCH-type specifications as special cases, making it a unifying framework for volatility modelling in financial econometrics. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. | GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994). |
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