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نموذج APARCH (Asymmetric Power ARCH): نمذجة مرنة للتقلبات للعوائد المالية×نموذج GARCH (التنبؤ بالتقلب)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19931986
صاحب الطريقةDing, Granger & EngleTim Bollerslev
النوعConditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model
المصدر التأسيسيDing, Z., Granger, C. W. J., & Engle, R. F. (1993). A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1(1), 83–106. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةAsymmetric Power ARCH, Power ARCH, APGARCH, Asimetrik Güç ARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
ذات صلة35
الملخصAPARCH, introduced by Ding, Granger, and Engle (1993) while studying long-memory properties of stock market returns, extends the GARCH family by allowing both the power transformation of conditional volatility and an asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. The model nests at least seven well-known ARCH-type specifications as special cases, making it a unifying framework for volatility modelling in financial econometrics.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: APARCH · GARCH Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare