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Process / pipelineSimulation / optimization

确定性微观模拟 — 无随机抽样的基于规则的个体层面模拟

确定性微观模拟将固定的政策规则或行为方程应用于微观数据文件中的每个个体或家庭记录,计算出确切的结果,而无需任何随机抽样。它是全球各国政府使用的税收福利计算器和人口预测模型背后的标准引擎。

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来源

  1. Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI: 10.2307/1928528
  2. Bourguignon, F., & Spadaro, A. (2006). Microsimulation as a tool for evaluating redistribution policies. Journal of Economic Inequality, 4(1), 77–106. DOI: 10.1007/s10888-005-9012-6

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Deterministic Microsimulation — Rule-based individual-level simulation without random draws. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/deterministic-microsimulation

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被引用于

ScholarGateDeterministic Microsimulation (Deterministic Microsimulation — Rule-based individual-level simulation without random draws). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/deterministic-microsimulation · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026