方法对比
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| 确定性微观模拟× | 离散事件仿真 (DES)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 仿真 | 仿真 |
| 方法族 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 起源年份≠ | 1957 | 1960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward |
| 提出者≠ | Guy H. Orcutt | Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s) |
| 类型≠ | Individual-level deterministic rule application | Stochastic process simulation |
| 开创性文献≠ | Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗ | Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127 |
| 别名≠ | Arithmetic Microsimulation, Static Tax-Benefit Microsimulation, Deterministic Policy Simulation, Rule-based Microsimulation | DES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES) |
| 相关≠ | 5 | 4 |
| 摘要≠ | Deterministic Microsimulation applies a fixed set of policy rules or behavioral equations to each individual or household record in a microdata file, computing exact outcomes without any random sampling. It is the standard engine behind tax-benefit calculators and demographic projection models used by governments worldwide. | Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time. |
| ScholarGate数据集 ↗ |
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