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贝叶斯排队模拟 — 将贝叶斯参数推断与随机排队模拟相结合

贝叶斯排队模拟将贝叶斯统计推断与随机排队模拟相结合,用于在参数不确定性下对等待线系统进行建模。它不将到达率和服务率视为固定的已知值,而是为它们设置先验分布,用观测数据更新这些先验以获得后验分布,并通过重复模拟运行来传播由此产生的参数不确定性,从而对队列长度、等待时间和服务利用率等系统性能指标进行概率预测。

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来源

  1. Armero, C., & Bayarri, M. J. (1994). Bayesian prediction in M/M/1 queues. Queueing Systems, 15(1–4), 401–417. DOI: 10.1007/BF01189248
  2. Insua, D. R., Wiper, M., & Ruggeri, F. (1998). Bayesian analysis of M/Er/1 and M/H_k/1 queues. Queueing Systems, 30(3–4), 289–308. DOI: 10.1023/a:1019173206509

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Queueing Simulation — Bayesian parameter inference integrated with stochastic queueing simulation. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-queueing-simulation

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Set this method beside its closest kin and read them side by side — the library lays the books on the table; the choice is yours.

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ScholarGateBayesian Queueing Simulation (Bayesian Queueing Simulation — Bayesian parameter inference integrated with stochastic queueing simulation). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-queueing-simulation · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026