方法证据记录
Bayesian AR model
The Bayesian AR model estimates an autoregressive time-series process by combining a likelihood derived from the AR structure with prior distributions over the lag coefficients and error variance. Rather than producing single point estimates, it yields full posterior distributions, enabling principled uncertainty quantification and probabilistic forecasting.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Bayesian Autoregressive Model
分类方法记录 · regression-model / econometrics
- Zellner, A. (1971). An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics. Wiley. · ISBN 978-0471169376
- West, M., & Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). Springer. · ISBN 978-0387947259
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