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Prophet — 可分解时间序列预测

Prophet 是 Facebook/Meta 于 2018 年由 Taylor 和 Letham 引入的贝叶斯结构时间序列模型。它通过将连续序列分解为可解释的趋势、季节性和节假日分量来对其进行预测,旨在方便大规模工作的分析师使用。

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来源

  1. Taylor, S. J. & Letham, B. (2018). Forecasting at Scale. The American Statistician, 72(1), 37-45. DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2017.1380080
  2. Taylor, S. J. & Letham, B. (2017). Prophet: Forecasting at Scale [Software]. Facebook/Meta. link

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Prophet Decomposable Time Series Forecasting Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/prophet-model

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被引用于

ScholarGateProphet (Prophet Decomposable Time Series Forecasting Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/prophet-model · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026