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贝叶斯 EGARCH 模型

贝叶斯 EGARCH 模型将 Nelson (1991) 的指数 GARCH (EGARCH) 规范——该规范对条件方差的对数进行建模并捕捉杠杆效应——与通过马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛 (MCMC) 进行的贝叶斯后验推断相结合。这允许对所有波动率参数(包括不对称系数)进行完全的不确定性量化,而无需估计量具有大样本正态性。

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来源

  1. Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI: 10.2307/2938260
  2. Nakatsuma, T. (2000). Bayesian analysis of ARMA-GARCH models: A Markov chain sampling approach. Journal of Econometrics, 95(1), 57–69. DOI: 10.1016/S0304-4076(99)00029-9

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bayesian-egarch

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被引用于

ScholarGateBayesian EGARCH (Bayesian Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/bayesian-egarch · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026