方法对比

	贝叶斯 EGARCH 模型	贝叶斯GARCH模型
领域	计量经济学	计量经济学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation)	1989–2000
提出者	Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000s	Geweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998)
类型	Volatility model with Bayesian inference	Bayesian volatility model
开创性文献	Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370.	Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86.
别名	Bayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCH	Bayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model
相关	6	4
摘要	The Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates.	The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics.