方法对比

	Cross-Quantilogram	Quantile ARDL	Quantile VAR
领域	计量经济学	计量经济学	计量经济学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2012	2006	2006
提出者	Oliver Linton and Yoon-Jin Whang	Roger Koenker and Zhijie Xiao	Koenker and Xiao
类型	Correlation measure	Conditional distribution model	Distribution impulse response
开创性文献	Linton, O., & Whang, Y. J. (2012). Quantile comparisons of time series data. Journal of Econometrics, 170(2), 242-257.	Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990.	Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990.
别名	—	Quantile ARDL	Quantile-based impulse response
相关	3	3	3
摘要	The cross-quantilogram extends the cross-correlogram concept to quantile pairs of two time series, measuring dependence at different quantile levels. Introduced by Linton and Whang (2012), it captures how shocks at specific quantile levels in one series relate to movements in another, enabling asymmetric dependence analysis. This approach is particularly valuable when downside and upside risk correlations differ materially.	QARDL (Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag) combines quantile regression with ARDL modeling to estimate conditional relationships at different points of the distribution, revealing heterogeneous short-run and long-run effects. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and refined by Cho et al. (2015), it captures how the effect of explanatory variables on outcomes varies across quantiles, essential for understanding tail behavior and distributional impacts rather than just mean effects.	Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.