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แบบจำลองเวกเตอร์ออโตริเกรสชันแบบทนทาน (Robust VAR)×Panel Vector Autoregression (Panel VAR)×Quantile VAR×แบบจำลอง Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
สาขาวิชาเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูลRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
ปีกำเนิด1980s–2000s198820062005
ผู้ริเริ่มExtensions by Lutkepohl and others building on Sims (1980) VAR frameworkHoltz-Eakin, Newey & RosenKoenker and XiaoLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
ประเภทMultivariate time-series model with robust estimationPanel vector autoregressionDistribution impulse responseMultivariate time-series model
แหล่งต้นตำรับGoncalves, S., & Kilian, L. (2004). Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. Journal of Econometrics, 123(1), 89-120. DOI ↗Holtz-Eakin, D., Newey, W. & Rosen, H. S. (1988). Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data. Econometrica, 56(6), 1371-1395. DOI ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นrobust VAR, outlier-robust VAR, heavy-tailed VAR, RVARPVAR, panel vector autoregression, Panel VAR (PVAR)Quantile-based impulse responsevector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง5334
สรุปThe Robust VAR model extends the classical Vector Autoregression framework by replacing ordinary least squares estimation with robust estimators — such as M-estimators or median-based methods — to reduce the influence of outliers, structural breaks, and heavy-tailed shocks common in financial and macroeconomic time series.Panel VAR extends the vector autoregression model to panel data, modelling the dynamic interactions among several variables while controlling for cross-unit heterogeneity through fixed effects. It was introduced by Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen in 1988 and produces impulse-response functions and variance decompositions at the panel level.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Robust VAR model · Panel VAR · Quantile VAR · VAR Model. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-18 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare