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แบบจำลอง Global VAR×Panel VARX×VAR แบบมีเกณฑ์ (Threshold Panel VAR)×แบบจำลอง VAR ที่เสริมด้วยปัจจัยแปรผันตามเวลา×
สาขาวิชาเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูลRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
ปีกำเนิด2004201319962005
ผู้ริเริ่มPesaran, Schuermann, and WeinerCanova and CiccarelliBruce Hansen and colleaguesBernanke, Boivin, and Eliasz
ประเภทInternational system modelMulti-equation panel modelNonlinear panel modelTime-varying system
แหล่งต้นตำรับPesaran, M. H., Schuermann, T., & Weiner, S. M. (2004). Modeling regional interdependencies using a global error-correcting macroeconometric model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22(2), 129-162. DOI ↗Canova, F., & Ciccarelli, M. (2013). Panel vector autoregressive models: A survey. Advances in Econometrics, 32, 205-246. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J., & Eliasz, P. S. (2005). Measuring monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1), 161-208. link ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นGVAR, Multi-country VARPanel VAR-XPanel-VAR with regime switchingDynamic factor model with time-varying parameters
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง3333
สรุปGlobal VAR (GVAR) is a large-scale macroeconomic modeling framework linking multiple countries (or regions) via trade and financial channels, allowing shocks in one country to propagate through the global system. Introduced by Pesaran et al. (2004), it solves the curse of dimensionality in international VAR models by estimating country-specific VARs conditional on foreign variables, then solving a system linking all countries. This approach is invaluable for analyzing global spillovers and international policy coordination.Panel VARX extends vector autoregression to heterogeneous panels with exogenous variables, enabling simultaneous modeling of multiple endogenous variables alongside observed external factors across many units. Introduced by Holtz-Eakin et al. (1988) and advanced by Canova and Ciccarelli (2013), it captures dynamic relationships within units while allowing parameters to vary across units. This framework is essential for macroeconomic panels and understanding cross-unit heterogeneity in responses to common shocks.The Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.TVP-FAVAR is a hybrid framework combining factor-augmented VARs with time-varying parameter estimation via Kalman filtering. Introduced by Bernanke et al. (2005) and refined by Primiceri (2005), it extracts latent economic factors (e.g., a 'common monetary policy shock') from high-dimensional data while allowing VAR coefficients to evolve stochastically over time. This framework captures both reduced-dimensionality patterns and structural instability, making it ideal for studying evolving policy regimes and shock dynamics.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Global VAR · Panel VARX · Threshold Panel VAR · TVP-FAVAR. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-19 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare