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Mfumo Imara wa GARCH×Modeli ya EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Modeli wa GARCH (Utabiri wa Msukosuko)×Regression ya Kiasi (Quantile Regression)×
NyanjaEkonometrikiEkonometrikiEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili1986–2013199119861978
MwanzilishiBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Daniel B. NelsonTim BollerslevKoenker & Bassett
AinaVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
Chanzo asiliaBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Zinazohusiana5655
MuhtasariThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Robust GARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model · Quantile Regression. Imepatikana 2026-06-18 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare