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Mfumo Imara wa GARCH×Modeli wa GARCH (Utabiri wa Msukosuko)×Regression ya Kiasi (Quantile Regression)×
NyanjaEkonometrikiEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili1986–201319861978
MwanzilishiBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Tim BollerslevKoenker & Bassett
AinaVolatility modelConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
Chanzo asiliaBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Zinazohusiana555
MuhtasariThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Robust GARCH model · GARCH Model · Quantile Regression. Imepatikana 2026-06-18 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare