Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Bayesian SARIMA model

Bayesian SARIMA model kombinuje klasični Box-Jenkins sezonski ARIMA okvir sa Bejzijanskom inferencijom za obradu sezonskih vremenskih serija. Umesto da daje jednu tačkastu procenu, on daje potpunu posteriornu distribuciju parametara modela, prenoseći nesigurnost parametara direktno u prognoze i omogućavajući principijelno uključivanje prethodnog znanja.

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Izvori

  1. Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C., & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
  2. Geweke, J., & Whiteman, C. (2006). Bayesian forecasting. In G. Elliott, C. W. J. Granger, & A. Timmermann (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting (Vol. 1, pp. 3–80). Elsevier. link

Kako citirati ovu stranicu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/bayesian-sarima-model

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Citirana u

ScholarGateBayesian SARIMA Model (Bayesian Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). Preuzeto 2026-06-15 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/bayesian-sarima-model · Skup podataka: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026