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Robustni ARCH model×EGARCH model (eksponencijalni GARCH)×GARCH model (predviđanje volatilnosti)×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka2002–200819911986
TvoracEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sDaniel B. NelsonTim Bollerslev
TipVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility model
Temeljni izvorEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
Drugi nazivirobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Srodne665
SažetakThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Robust ARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare