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Model EGARCH (Exponenciálny GARCH)×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Model DCC-GARCH (dynamická podmienená korelácia)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku199119702002
TvorcaDaniel B. NelsonGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsRobert F. Engle
TypVolatility / conditional variance modelTime series forecasting modelMultivariate volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
Príbuzné665
ZhrnutieThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: EGARCH model · ARIMA model · DCC-GARCH model. Získané 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare