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Model ARCH (autoregresná podmienená heteroskedasticita)×Model EGARCH (Exponenciálny GARCH)×Model GARCH (predikcia volatility)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku198219911986
TvorcaRobert F. EngleDaniel B. NelsonTim Bollerslev
TypConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Príbuzné665
ZhrnutieThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: ARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model. Získané 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare