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Model ARCH (autoregresná podmienená heteroskedasticita)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Model GARCH (predikcia volatility)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku198219911986
TvorcaRobert F. EngleNelsonTim Bollerslev
TypConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Príbuzné645
ZhrnutieThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: ARCH model · EGARCH · GARCH Model. Získané 2026-06-20 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare